Wednesday, 4 January 2017

Ignoring The Angst Of Brexit


Yesterday the GBP/USD pair declined and bottomed at 1.2198, but closed higher at 1.2237. As seen on the hourly chart, the price crossed to downwards the support trend line, which suggested a bearish scenario. 



But today we witnessed an interesting recovery, mostly due to the better than expected macro data released in UK. Another push up was set by FOMC minutes later on today and the pair settled above 1.2330. Currently the pair is placed above the support trend line. 
Given the fact that the Brexit uncertainty still persists, rallies are not excluded because selling opportunities are yet to come along with 1.2500 area pending bearish orders. 
The H4 chart is displaying that the pair is situated very close to the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement of the latest daily decline and well above the 20-day SMA, which is acting as a support now (1.2275). Some bullish signs are indicated by the technical indicators as well. RSI is heading to north with current location at 60 level. Stochastic is nearing overbought conditions and is showing strong bullish momentum. 
As long as bulls are running in the short term, next target is assigned to be 1.2480, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of latest daily decline. 



It is clearly that the Sterling benefited from the good macro UK data which is somehow damaging the expectation of the British economy development ahead of Brexit. And we may conclude that the latest movements of the British Pound are remarkable having in mind the behaviour against the financial markets. 

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