Wednesday, 14 March 2018

EUR/NZD Vulnerable ahead of GDP


Last week EUR/NZD surged higher and tested the significant resistance zone around 1.7130, with which bulls experience difficulties lately. Since then the pair suffered a huge drop and today was seen hovering around the key support at 1.6840.
Within the next hours the New Zealand Statistics will release the latest growth estimate with expectations of higher figures on GDP for the fourth quarter of 2017, but this optimism might play a low-down trick on the pair. 
On the four hour time frame the price is developing below its flat 100-day and 200-day SMAs, acting as first resistance at 1.6900. The 20-day SMA has eased its bearish slope and is currently located slightly above the current market price. 
RSI is hovering around 45 unable to find clear direction, while stochastic is showing string bearish momentum and is going to cross to below its mid-line.
During the upcoming session it’s very important to see how the pair will behave within the support zone at 1.6840 -1.6810. It’s a very significant area where last week’s lows met the bullish trend line, starting from February 2017. In case of breaking it to below, door are opened for testing 1.6720. On the upside the pair remains capped by the 100-day and 200-day SMAs and if bulls succeed to fight it and the to overcome next resistance at 1.7090, then we might be sure that the uptrend would hold for a while yet.




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