The decision of RBNZ to keep key interest
rates at 1.75% led to depreciation of the New Zealand Dollar against its major
rivals today. This was widely expected, but recently some positive economic
numbers were released, which supported
the anticipation of rate hike. The unemployment rate dropped to 4.9% Q1 and CPI has marked 2,2% on year-on-year base for the
2016’s. In fact these hopes didn’t match the opinion of Governor Wheeler, who thinks that no
inflationary pressure is seen and salaries didn’t rise significantly.
The dovish RBNZ smashed the NZD/USD pair and sent it to yearly low at 0.6718.
The technical readings on the four-hour time frame are confirming the
downtrend. The price crossed to below the 20-day SMA, which has turned to bearish
mode. RSI and stochastic retreated from the extreme overbought area, but yet are
well below their mid-lines and had lost directional strength.
Meanwhile the pair surpassed the December
2016’s low at 0.6862 with current market price 0.6854. Apart of the posted
yearly low this suggests further decline and bears are aiming to test the 0.6800
level.
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