The release of the RBA Minutes showed that the low
rates will be maintained a while longer. The bad figures in Q3 GDP, lower than expected consumption growth and
the inflation expectations raised doubts over the appreciation of the national
currency that might cause difficulties to economic transition. Amid those
concerns the AUD/USD pair today is holding within the well know tight range
between 0.76 – 0.77. Looking at the four-hour time frame, the price is trying
to move above the 20-day SMA, which has turned into bearish mode. Meanwhile the
100-day SMA is acting as a dynamic support. Technical indicators have
recovers from oversold readings. RSI is slightly above mid-lines, but is
loosing strength and Stochastic is showing strong bullish momentum. So far there
is nothing sure to confirm bullishness. The key resistance at 0.77 is being
long term lived and as long as holding above 0.76, the down slide remains
unlikely.
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