Monday, 21 November 2016

USD/JPY at extremely overbought conditions

During the last week the USD/JPY pair continued to climb up and topped at 110.91. Today the pair is seen even higher and marked an intraday high at 111. 33, a level that has not been visited since late May. In the short term the downward movement seems to be limited, as 100-day and 200-day simple moving averages remain well below the current level.
As it is clearly seen on the H4 the technical indicators are placed at extreme overbought area. RSI is starting some correction from the overbought area, while stochastic is showing lack of momentum.
The bias remains bullish for testing 111.50. A clear break and daily close above this level could trigger further upside pressure towards 113.50 this week. The nearest support is located at 110.35. A possible break below that area could lead the pair to neutral trading levels with testing 109.80, but still the bulls possess the short term development for the upcoming days. 


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