Showing posts with label official cash rate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label official cash rate. Show all posts

Thursday, 9 November 2017

NZD/USD Boosted on RBNZ statement



As it was expected, The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left the official cash rate unchanged at 1.75% and maintained its “on hold” stance for the monetary policy. The central bankers revised up its inflation forecasts and assumed that the the outlook for the economy was improving. In line with this the New Zealand dollar was boosted and posted some gains, while the US dollar was trading mixed on the talks of tax reform delays.
Technically speaking the NZD/USD pair is showing good bullish traction. On the four hour time frame the price has crossed to above its bullish 20-day SMA, while the 100-day and 200-day SMA maintain moderate bearish slopes. RSI is heading north and is posting higher highs and lower lows. Stochastic is located within extreme overbought territory, but has eased for now. During the Asian session the pair nailed a two week high at 0.6975, but retreated later and calmed at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of latest September to October bearish leg.
First support is provided by the daily low at 0.6943, below which the pair will be poised to retest yesterday’s low at 0.6915 and in case of crossing it to below, doors will be opened for the key level 0.6900. Looking to the upside, a a certain move beyond the above mentioned 23.6% Fibo at 0.6966, which is the current price meanwhile, should reload bulls’ energy and dart them towards the psychological mark 0.7000.

 



Thursday, 9 June 2016

NZD/USD at 1-year high



On Thursday the New Zealand dollar significantly rose against the greenback and hit a one-year high. The kiwi pinned a remarkable growth of 1.8% after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand left the official cash rate in the country unchanged at 2.25 percent,  which surprised some market participants who forecasted a rate cut. 
In the early trading NZD/USD increased to 0.71469, boosted by the RBNZ decision and the recently weak US data that might bring further gains for the kiwi. 
But RBNZ would be more confident to have a weaker exchange rate of the local currency in order to ensure that the future average inflation settle close to the middle of the target level. In view of the sharp appreciation this would be difficult to achieve without one further OCR cut in next months.  Most probably this will happen during the next meeting of the institution in August.