The
most important macro event this week brought nothing new, as Mario & Co left
the monetary policy unchanged as it was expected. Mr Draghi pointed out that
recent and increased volatility in the forex market is source of uncertainty,
with little chances for interest rate hike this year. However this event
resulted very positive to the EUR/USD and the pair surpassed the 1.25 handle for
first time since mid December 2014. In fact Draghi’s attempts to talk down the
single currency failed as its strength now is die to the solid domestic economic
and the broad US Dollar’s weakness.
EUR/USD extended its impressive rally
that started in January 2018 and today marked daily high at 1.2537 but pulled
back to currently trade at 1.2482. The short term outlook for the pair remains
bullish and a close above 1.25 would open doors for testing the 1.2540 – 1.2550
region.
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