During the early European session the USD/JPY pair tested the
critical resistance at 111.76 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 114.50 to
107.35 drop) and marched higher to mark
fresh high at 111.89. However the pair couldn’t find enough strength to hold around
this level and retreated lower to currently trade at 111.50. On the four hour
time frame the price is moving above its moving averages. RSI is located
slightly above its mid-line and is losing directional strength, while stochastic
is displaying strong bearish momentum. Bulls rally is not yet endangered unless
the pair closes below 110.90 (50% Fibonacci retracement of same July to
September decline). All eyes on FOMC tomorrow which will set more clear
direction anyway.
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