Saturday 4 February 2017

Will The Fire Rooster Be The Market Booster


As the many antics of the inconsistent, sizzling and mischievous characteristics of the Red Monkey left significant tracks and marked 2016 with strong glitters and jitters, now new awakening is in force.
Along with the Chinese Lunar New Year, new expectations are rising. The urgency, energy and vibrancy of the desired changing environment will be set in motion with the Fire Rooster.
If there is something in your nature that do not understand or accept the Chinese zodiac, I would only  like to drag your attention to the signals of this New Year from another viewpoint and to implement some signs  into the tentative market forecasts.


The comfort provided by complacency and indifference is a past. The future will be fuelled by a certain ambition and assertiveness. 
And here is a slight glimpse of what is about to come along with the Fire Rooster.
A distinctive feature of the Rooster is not be quite and not to care about what is expected or desired. Do you find any resemblance with the new US President elect? Daring tweets, new Berlin wall, immigration ban. And meanwhile the Trumponomics is offering fiscal relaxation and protectionism, which is inflationary and is supposed to reinforce the US Dollar bulls. Yet it is too much and yet it is too soon to see how this will enact and how much time it will take to affect. One thing is sure – markets are at risk caused by the disappointment of Trump trade.
The conflicting elements of fire and Rooster’s self confidence and ambition could be clearly be read in Brexit drafts. How hard it will be and how Europe will handle it? Talks will not end soon, but talks are affecting the markets. Sterling will be extremely vulnerable and UK assets’ value will be marked down. 
Oil market balance is undetermined. The supply glut is still labelled by some unknowns. And markets are going to shift the mood into „Wait and see” mode. 
The Rooster is going to blaze with the characteristic of alarm clock and is going to brake the silence of uncertainties related to the banking sector. The optimisms towards the investible global banks is rising along with the outlook of higher interest rates. The economic growth is accelerating as policy gears are switching from monetary to fiscal measures.  
I have outlined just some fews, but within the geomagnetic field of importance. Of course some side effects such as plummeting of the Mexican peso and Turkish lira , Russia’s escaping the trend and China’s capital outflow shouldn’t be neglected.
In summary, the year of the Rooster will bring simultaneously optimism, movement, changes and turbulence on markets. And new opportunities on personal level.
Whatever you meet at this year unfold, I suggest you always to think about the present - how wide it is, how deep it is and how much might be yours to keep. Transform your fears into prudence, mistakes into intuition and desire into undertaking. Then the Rooster will be your booster!


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